Weekly indicators provide a timely nowcast of the economy, signaling changes before monthly or quarterly data is available, and help “mark your beliefs to market.”. Long leading indicators, including ...

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The inverted yield curve means that a recession is still likely, the indicator's inventor wrote this week. However, excessive labor demand, a stronger housing market, are factors that will dampen the ...

The yield curve has been inverted for nearly a year, which is a strong indicator of an incoming recession. A change to the curve in last month could signal that a recession is right around the corner.

The inverted yield curve has been one of the most reliable predictors of an imminent recession. An inversion of short and long-term bond yields has preceded every recession since World War II. But the ...

The Federal Reserve seems poised to cut interest rates soon, and fear of a recession is one driver why the central bank would want to slash borrowing costs. Steven Goldstein is based in London and ...

The Federal Reserve has aggressively fought inflation over the past year. Policymakers raised interest rates at their fastest pace in four decades, while simultaneously shrinking the Fed's balance ...

Please provide your email address to receive an email when new articles are posted on . Now that the Federal Reserve has raised interest rates for the first time since 2018, many in the financial ...

If you’re like me, when you see an outsized dividend yield, you stop for a second and immediately do the mental math. How much would we get back in payouts from, say, a 9.3% payer if we were to invest ...

Economists tend to see an inverted US bond-yield curve as an indicator that a recession is coming. Yields on Treasury bonds remain inverted, which could be a classic recession warning. But it's no ...

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In the wake of the jobs report on Friday signaling a robust labor market and continued upward wage pressure, the bond market priced in another rate hike by the Federal Reserve (Fed). The yield curve ...